Topic: Automation Technology and Employment Structures in China: 1990 to 2015

Speaker:WenkaiSUN

Abstract:From 1990 to 2015, there are three significant changes in employment structure in China. The first one is the share of routine manual jobs decreased from 56.65% to 31.58%, the second one is the share of non-employment increase from 15.85% to 30.75%, and the last one is the share of routine cognitive jobs increased from 8.17% to 19.27%. Our decomposition exercises find that the composition effect, the propensity effect and the interaction effect contribute to 67.6%, 66.4% and -34% to the fall in routine manual jobs, respectively. Meanwhile, these effects for the rise in routine cognitive jobs and for the increase in the not-working are 15.6%, 73.5%, 10.9%, and 6.9%, 92.8%, 0.3%, respectively. The pattern of change in employment structure and decomposition results in China are somewhat differ from those in developed countries, such as the United States. (JEL Classification: E24 J21 O33)

About Speaker:

WenkaiSUN is an Associate Professor in School of Economics at Renmin University of China (RUC). Mr. Sun is also a visiting researcher in Data Center at Peking University, and a researcher in The National Academy of Development and Strategy (NADS) at RUC. He achieved his Ph.D in Economics at Tsinghua University in 2008. He had been to UC Berkeley as a visiting scholar from Sept. 2011 to Sept. 2012 and worked with Daniel McFadden (2000 Nobel Laureate in Economics). Main Research Interests:Labor Economics; measurement methods and applications. Research paper have been published in Review of Development Economics, China Economic Review, Health Economics,Global Economic Review,and etc.

Date:April11, 2018

Time:12:30-13:45

Location: Room 608, Academic Hall, CUFE